September 3rd-4th, 2021
6th ZAGREB SECURITY FORUM 2021
Grand Strategy, Foresight and Hybrid Threats 21st Century - Making Society and Critical Infrastructure Resilient
Day 0: Thursday, September 2nd, 2021
20:00 Dinner for Speakers, Panel Chairs, and Guests of Honor (Invitation only)
Day 1: Friday, September 3rd, 2021
08:30 – 09:00 Arrival and Registration
09:00 - 09:30 Opening Ceremony – in memory of Prof.Dr. Miroslav Tuđman
Assist.Prof. Gordan Akrap, Hybrid Warfare Research Institute, Zagreb
Mr. Holger Haibach, Head of the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung Office in Zagreb
Lt. General Mate Pađen, Commandant of the Croatian Defence Academy "Dr. Franjo Tuđman"
09:30- 11.00 Keynote Speakers
Prof.Dr. Shlomo Shpiro, Bar Ilan University, Ramat Gan, Israel
Dr. Johannes Gold, KAS Berlin, Germany
Mr. Tomislav Dulibić, State secretary, Ministry of Health, Croatia
Mr. Frano Matušić, State secretary, Ministry of Foreign and European Affairs, Croatia
Mr. Elmar Brok, former member of European Parliament and chairman of the EP Committee on Foreign Affairs
Mrs. Dubravka Šuica, Vice-President (2019-2024) of European Commission for Democracy and Demography
Mr. Andrej Plenković, President of the Government of the Republic of Croatia (tbc)
11:00-11:15 Coffee Break
11:15-13:15 Panel I
Strategic Foresight and Hybrid Threats
Chair: General (ret.) Mirko Šundov, PhD
Lieutenant General Dr. Florian Coldea, “Mihai Viteazul” National Intelligence Academy, Romania: Intelligence Challenges in Countering Hybrid Threats
Prof.Dr. Shlomo Shpiro, Bar Ilan University, Ramat Gan, Israel: Foresight, Technology, and Hybrid Crisi Management - Lessons Learned from Corona and Afghanistan (online)
Prof.Dr.Gilliam de Valk, University of Leiden:
Hybrid warfare and the Grey Zone: to deal with the Shaping of the
environment through the concept of Augmented Intelligence
Dr. Vira Ratsiborynska, Free University Brussels (VUB), Belgium: Role of Foresight in Grand Strategy Planning, Development and Training
13:15-14:15 Lunch (one non-alcoholic beverage included)
14:15-16:15 Panel II
Strategic Challenges and Hybrid Threats to Freedom and Society
Chair: Hrvoje Sagrak, INFODOM, Croatia
Expert commentator/Challenger: Dr. Dorthe Bach Nyemann, Royal Danish Defence College, Denmark (online)
Dr. Jose L. Diego, Ivan L. Martinez, Valencia Local Police: EU – Hybnet
Gen. (res.) Ephraim Lapid, PhD, The Europa Institute, Bar-Ilan
University, Ramat - Gan, Israel: Lessons of the Israeli Defense Establishment in Coping with COVID-19 (online)
Prof.Dr. Aleksandra Gasztold, University of Warsaw; Dr. Przemysław Gasztold,
War Studies University, Poland: Vulnerability, Risk Analysis and
Resilience Management in Critical Infrastructures in Poland and Germany
Prof. Dr. Slavko Vidović, INFODOM group, Prof.Dr. Neven Vrček, Faculty of organisation and informatics, University of Zagreb, Hrvoje Sagrak, CEO INFODOM Zagreb, Croatia: Resilience and Agility in Smart Industry Infrastructure as a Strategic Protection Tool Against Emerging Security Challenges
Col. (ret.) Martti Kari, PhD, Faculty of Information Technology in the University of Jyväskylä: Strategic Culture as a Tool for Foreseeing Hybrid Threats: Russia as a Case Study
16:15-16:40 Coffee Break
16.40-18.40 Panel III
NATO and Hybrid Threats
Chair: Assist.Prof. Gordan Akrap, Hybrid Warfare Research Institute, Zagreb
Expert commentator: Neil Chuka, Strategic Analyst/Defence Research and Development Canada Centre for Operational Research and Analysis, Department of National Defence, Canada (online)
Prof. Dr. Yantsislav Yanakiev, Bulgarian
Defence Institute “Prof. Tsvetan Lazarov”: Strengthening Societal
Resilience of the Allies on the Eastern Flank of NATO as a Means to
Protect from Hybrid Threats (online)
Dr. Gintaras Labutis, Military Academy of Lithuania: The Analysis of Foresight Techniques at Lithuanian Armed Forces Long-Term Planning
Dr. Laris Gaiser: Chinese hybrid warfare approach and the logic of strategy
Dr. Andrew N. Liaropoulos, Assistant Professor, University of Piraeus, RIEAS, Greece: Digital authoritarianism ‘Made in China’: A techno-dystopian future
Dr. Paul Charon, Director for Intelligence, Strategic Foresight and Hybrid Threats at the Institute for Strategic Research: Operation "Infektion 2.0", a deepening of the russianisation of Chinese disinformation campaigns
20:00 -
Networking dinner for all Forum participants, (two non-alcoholic beverages included)
Day 2: Saturday, September 4th, 2021
10.00-11.30 Panel IV
Hybrid Threats and Election Influence Operations – Lessons learned?
Session Under Chatham House Rules
Chair: Assist.Prof. Gordan Akrap, Prof.Dr. Shlomo Shpiro
Dr. Jerko Livaja, Ministry of the Internal Affairs of the Herzegovina-Neretva Canton: Decentralized Security Systems in Hybrid War Conditions with an Emphasis on the Security System in Bosnia and Herzegovina (online)
Ljubomir Filipović, Analyst, Montenegro: Analysis of the foreign malign influence in the Montenegrin election campaign, including the church protests 2019-2020
11.30-13.00 Panel V
Hybrid Threats Domains of Appearance
Chair: Prof. Dr. Mladen Vedriš, University of Zagreb
David Snetselaar, The Netherlands Defence
Academy and Utrecht University: Governing and Securing Vital Knowledge
Warning against hybrid threats in R&D
Athanassios Kosmopoulos, Ministry of Digital Governance, Greece: Preventing and responding to hybrid threats: The Holistic Immunity model
Dr. Barak Bouks, The Europa Institute, Bar-Ilan
University, Ramat - Gan, Israel: Hamas' Confrontations with Israel
through the Prism of Live Coverage in a Formal TV News Channel (online)
Dr. Maxime Audinet, Institute of Strategic
Studies (IRSEM, Paris): Discrediting the French presence? Russia’s
informational influence in French-speaking Subsaharan Africa.
13:00-14:00 Lunch (one non-alcoholic beverage included)
14.00-15.30 Panel VI
Young Researchers and Hybrid Threats Resiliency
Chair: ir. Yvan de Mesmaeker, ECSA, Belgium
Rebecca R. Farulli, German Marshall Fund of the United States: Strategic Foresight and Hybrid Threats
Eleni Kapsokoli, University of Piraeus: Western Balkan Jihadism: The Cyber Terror in the EU’s Neighborhood
Michael Wyss, Department of Humanities, Social and Political Sciences at ETH Zurich: The Evolution of Proxy Warfare in the Middle East
Tarik Solmaz: Understanding the Essence of Contemporary Revisionism: Going Beyond Hybrid Warfare
15.30-16.00 Forum Conclusions
Future Challenges, Joint Responses
Co-chairs: Assist.Prof. Gordan Akrap, Prof. Dr. Shlomo Shpiro
The aim of this session is to integrate the lessons learned from the individual presentations of the previous two days, both in terms of threat analysis and of networked responses. Furthermore, this session will facilitate a wider discussion on the needs for joint capacity building, intensive inter-operability, and mutual multi-level crisis assistance.
Important COVID-19 information:
- Forum will be organised according to that-time pandemic situation in a hybrid way – “in situ” and online (via Cisco Webex communication application).
- Forum will be, just like last one, organised with highest possible epidemiological standards – after last Forum there was no SARS-CoV-2 incidents and infections in the present auditorium.
- Organizer of the Forum are going to cover accommodation expenses for all speakers;
- Every activity (conference halls, restaurants, coffee breaks, rooms) are going to be organised in a Hotel due to the disease prevention.
- Entrance to the Forum area will be allowed only for persons with VALID EU DIGITAL COVID-19 certificate, our ID accreditation and after temperature checking.
- Forum organizers are reserving the right to change the Program according to the necessities.